“We expect Gulf banks’ capitalization to remain solid over the next two years,” S&P in its report titled “Gulf banks’ capital positions compare well with those of global banks, said on Tuesday.
“Our risk-adjusted capital (RAC) framework, which we use to measure banks’ capital adequacy, indicates that the average RAC ratio for GCC banks stood in the 12%-13% range as of end-December 2011–about 5 percentage points higher than the 7.4% average we projected for the 100 largest banks we rate in September 2011,” it said.
“We believe there are two primary factors underlying GCC banks strong capitalization metrics Standard & Poor’s credit analyst Paul-Henri Pruvost, said.
“First, banks in all GCC countries, except Saudi Arabia, must maintain regulatory capital adequacy ratios above 10%. In addition, GCC banks tend to operate with substantial headroom ranging from 3% to 23% for the banks we rate,” Pruvost, added.
“While GCC banks tend to outdo their larger international peers in terms of capitalization, they have weaker risk positions. Their risk profiles include sizable single-name, sector, and geographic concentration in countries that have higher economic risk than more mature markets in Western Europe or North America.”
“Still, these risks aren’t sufficient to threaten their capital positions, which we expect will remain broadly stable over the next two years. This is because we forecast subdued growth in risky assets, particularly corporate financing, combined with a gradual recovery in internal capital generation thanks to reduced impairment charges,” S&P added.
“Our expectations for GCC banks reflect this: 21 of the 26 GCC banks we rate have stable outlooks.”